Documents
Focus on: IADB (Latin America and the Caribbean)
The challenges of the Inter-American Development Bank in the regionApril 9th., 2010; by Katu Arkonada and María José Romero Upon closing the 51st Annual Meeting of the Inter-American Development Bank (IDB) held in Cancun, Mexico, on March 19-23, 2010, IDB Governors (Economy, Finance or Planning Ministers of members countries) approved the Cancun Declaration(1). This document establishes a $70 billion capital increase and the cancellation of Haitis debt with the IDB as main agreements. The declaration comprises ten items and a global framework to evaluate the institutional reforms agreed as part of the Banks Ninth General Capital Increase. These items partially address some of the concerns raised by different civil society organizations from all over the continent working on the follow-up to IDB policies and on making the impacts of its projects in the region visible. Nevertheless, from these same organizations we believe that there still remain items to be reinforced and challenges to be undertaken by the Banks management. | ||
What kind of consultation involves the consultation process on the IDB’s recapitalization?March 19st., 2010. by María José Romero (ITeM) and Juan Carballo (CEDHA)
The Ninth General Capital Increase of the IDB was in the agenda of the 50th Annual Assembly of Governors held in March in Medellin, Colombia. Since then, civil society organizations (CSOs) involved in monitoring IDB policies have requested information and made various proposals. The pressure exerted through successive papers, letters to the Governors and constant communication with Bank officials both at national and international level, resulted in the convening of a consultation process with the region’s civil society organizations, an unprecedented move in the history of the recapitalization processes of multilateral financial institutions. | ||
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The IMF is hurting poor countriesMark Weisbrot. May 13, 2009.
The IMF's conditions on financial aid to poor countries are unnecessary. It can afford to be more generous.
"You don't have to do this." Those are the near-last words of several victims in the Coen brothers' classic film No Country for Old Men, as they try to convince the movie's unrelenting assassin that he should spare them. The assassin, played by Javier Bardem, finds this annoying, because in his mind these murders are pre-determined.
So it is with the IMF's continuing confrontations with its borrowers, with one government after another pleading: "You don't have to do this." Turkey and Latvia were in the news last week, having joined the roster of governments whose IMF disbursements are being withheld because they find it politically impossible to impose the required punishments on their citizens.
The IMF sees these measures as necessary and pre-determined – in most cases by the borrowing countries' having run-up unsustainable external or budget imbalances. But in fact the IMF has a long track record – dating back decades – of imposing unnecessary and often harmful conditions on borrowing countries.
Latvia missed a 200 million euro disbursement from the IMF in March for not cutting its budget enough. According to press reports, the government wants to run a budget deficit of 7% of GDP for this year, and the IMF wants 5%. Latvia is already cutting its budget by 40%, and is planning to close some public hospitals and schools in order to make the IMF's targets, prompting street protests.
In Pakistan, it would be surprising if the US Treasury, which is the principal overseer of the IMF, did not see a need to ease up on the contractionary IMF conditions there. The government of nuclear-armed Pakistan is facing serious political problems right now, having recently launched a major offensive against a growing Taliban insurgency. Slowing Pakistan's economy at a time when the global economic crisis is already doing that may not be the best policy from the point of view of political stability. The IMF has negotiated an increase in Pakistan's fiscal deficit from 3.4% to 4.6% of GDP, but is holding the line against lowering interest rates.
In almost all of its standby arrangements negotiated over the last year, the IMF has included conditions that will reduce output and employment in situations where economies are already shrinking.
Yet here in Washington there is a rush to get the IMF more money without any congressional hearings or debate. We are told that poor countries will suffer if the IMF does not get a $108bn appropriation from Congress immediately. But this is nonsense. If we add up all of the IMF's commitments under the 16 standby arrangements negotiated since the crisis intensified last year, the total is less than $46bn. The poorest countries will not be allowed to borrow anywhere near that amount.
The IMF already has $215bn on hand, plus more than $100bn in gold reserves. It plans to create another $250bn in SDR's, ie the IMF's currency. Even if we include the $67.5bn that Mexico ($47bn) and Poland ($20.5bn) together can tap under the IMF's flexible credit line, it is clear the IMF is trying to get hundreds of billions of dollars more than it is likely to need. And it has at least ten times the money that the poor countries – whose needs are pocket change compared to IMF resources – will ever be allowed to borrow.
Yet the Obama administration, in a surprise move out of nowhere on Tuesday, decided to try and attach the $108bn for the IMF to another spending bill in order to circumvent the normal legislative process. The reason for this stealth maneuver is that they might run into trouble in the House, where legislators are wary of voting for multi-billion blank cheques after the backlash against the Tarp financial bailout. They will try to convince Congress to approve this money without hearings or debate with the idea that it must be done in order to save poor people in poor countries.
Congress should be met with a chorus of opposition: "You don't have to do this."
guardian.co.uk © Guardian News and Media Limited 2009 | ||
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IMF Shouldn’t Get Money Without Reformby Mark Weisbrot April 24, 2009, New York Times and International Herald Tribune The International Monetary Fund turns 65 this year. Until the current economic crisis, it had reduced its workload drastically to a near-retirement level. Its total loan portfolio plummeted by 92 percent in four years. But like many senior citizens who have been hit by the world recession, the Fund has kept working past retirement age – and is now expanding its responsibilities.
The IMF has a track record, which seems to have been almost completely ignored in discussions of a proposed $750 billion increase in its resources. Nearly twelve years ago a financial crisis hit Thailand, South Korea, Indonesia, the Philippines and Malaysia. The word “contagion” became part of the financial reporting lexicon as the crisis spread to Russia, Brazil, Argentina and other countries.
In the Asian crisis, the Fund failed to provide desperately needed foreign exchange when it was most needed. It then imposed policies that worsened the downturn. It did the same in Argentina, and lent tens of billions of dollars to prop up an unsustainable exchange rate, which inevitably collapsed along with a record sovereign debt default. After that experience, many middle-income countries piled up reserves so that they would never have to depend on the Fund again.
No one at the IMF was held accountable for the mistakes that caused so much unnecessary unemployment, lost output, and poverty. Nor were any major reforms of the institution introduced. The Fund has 185 member countries, but a handful of rich countries – mostly the U.S., Europe, and Japan – have a solid majority and the U.S. Treasury is the Fund’s principal overseer.
The IMF claims that it has changed, but a look at nine “standby arrangements” – its basic short-term loan agreement -- that it has negotiated since September of last year reveals a number of the same mistakes that it made in the last crisis. All of them provide for spending cuts, despite the IMF’s avowed commitment to a worldwide fiscal stimulus.
El Salvador has signed an agreement with the IMF that prevents it from using expansionary fiscal policy – as the United States is now doing – to counter a downturn. Since El Salvador has the U.S. dollar as its currency, fiscal policy – increased spending or lower taxes – is practically the only tool it has to fight a recession that is practically inevitable as the U.S. economy continues to shrink. El Salvador gets 18 percent of GDP in the form of remittances from the U.S., and exports about 9.6 percent of GDP there.
Pakistan has agreed to significant spending cuts, as well as raising interest rates, despite negative demand shocks to the economy. Ukraine has also had to battle with the Fund over public spending cuts, despite the fact that GDP is falling by 9 percent this year and the country has a low public debt.
These and other examples indicate that in spite of the depth of the world recession, the Fund is too willing to sacrifice employment, and increase poverty, in pursuit of other goals. A country can always reduce a trade deficit by shrinking its economy, since that causes households and businesses to import less. The main purpose of IMF lending in the current crisis should be to enable low- and middle-income countries to do more of what the rich countries are doing: adopt stimulus packages that counter the downturn.
Most countries can do this, if they do not run into balance of payments problems. China, for example, has nearly $2 trillion in international reserves, and can therefore pursue a large fiscal stimulus. If the IMF were willing to help, more countries could follow suit.
Governments should not commit more money to the IMF without requiring that institution revisit its recently negotiated agreements, and adopt serious reforms that will require accountability and changes in policy.
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IMF Voting Shares: No Plans for Significant Changesby Mark Weisbrot and Jake Johnston
This issue brief examines voting shares of members of the International Monetary Fund (IMF), including voting shares prior to changes agreed in 2006, the voting shares after the 2006 changes were implemented, and proposed reforms of the voting shares currently under consideration. It finds that there has been insignificant change in the voting shares, and that there is little reason to believe that significant reforms will be implemented in the near future. Instead, countries that have traditionally held a disproportionately large share of votes at the IMF, such as the U.S. and European countries, will continue to do so, while low - and middle-income countries can expect no significant increase in their representation at the Fund. | ||
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IMF's Economic Growth Projections for Latin America and Caribbean Appear QuestionableCEPR Co-Director Challenges IMF to Bet $10,000 on its Projections
For Immediate Release: April 28, 2009
WASHINGTON, D.C. - Some of the IMF’s economic growth projections for Latin America and Caribbean countries through 2014 appear questionable, according to a new issue brief from the Center for Economic and Policy Research. The issue brief, "Troubled Assets: The IMF's Latest Projections for Economic Growth in the Western Hemisphere" by economist David Rosnick, finds that for some countries – most notably Venezuela and Argentina – the IMF’s projections inexplicably portend a prolonged negative impact of the current world recession, even as countries harder-hit by the downturn, such as Mexico, recover. In other cases, such as Haiti, the IMF projects a surprisingly big growth spurt.
"Of course the IMF is upset with Venezuela and Argentina because of these governments' criticisms of the Fund. But that's no reason to publish implausible economic forecasts for these economies,” said CEPR Co-Director and economist, Mark Weisbrot.
Venezuela grew at an average of 7.1 percent per year from 2002-08, but the IMF projects it to lose 0.1 percent per year through 2014. Along with Argentina and Panama, Venezuela has been one of the fastest growing economies in the Western Hemisphere over the last six years, yet it is the only country in the region that the IMF anticipates will not recover by 2014. This projection appears highly improbable, especially compared to the IMF’s projections for Mexico. Although it is much more heavily dependent on trade with the U.S. than Venezuela is, the IMF projects that Mexico will grow 2.9 percent per year over the next six years, after shrinking by 3.7 percent in 2009.
"The forecast for Venezuela is the least believable of all. If anyone at the IMF wants to put some money on this, I am happy to put up $10,000 on the bet that Venezuela will have an increase in real GDP over the next six years," Weisbrot said.
Haiti, at 0.9 percent per year, experienced the slowest growth of any country in the region since 2002. Yet the IMF is projecting Haiti to grow an average of 2.8 percent per year for the next six years, placing it squarely in the middle of the region.
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New Paper Finds IMF Lending Still Requires Harmful and Inappropriate Economic Conditions For Immediate Release: April 21, 2009 WASHINGTON, D.C. - The Center for Economic and Policy Research (CEPR) released a new paper today that finds that the International Monetary Fund (IMF) is still prescribing inappropriate policies that could unnecessarily worsen economic downturns in a number of countries. The paper, "Empowering the IMF: Should Reform be a Requirement for Increasing the Fund's Resources?" examines conditions tied to the IMF's new lending to El Salvador, Pakistan, Ukraine and other countries and finds the IMF is requiring macroeconomic conditions that can unnecessarily exacerbate the effects of the global economic recession on these countries. "New funding should not be provided to the IMF unless the institution is subject to important reforms that will prevent the Fund from continuing and repeating the serious errors that they made in the last major crises of the 1990s," said Mark Weisbrot, co-Director of CEPR and lead author of the paper. Among the harmful conditions cited in the paper are agreements that unnecessarily tighten fiscal and monetary policy in countries facing declining output and negative external economic shocks. The IMF has at the same time advocated the passage of economic stimulus packages and expansionary monetary policy in developed economies such as the U.S., Europe, and Japan. "The main purpose of the IMF's lending and the increased resources for the Fund right now is supposed to be to help low-and middle-income countries do what the high-income countries are doing - stimulate their economies," said Weisbrot. "It defeats the purpose to require them to do the opposite." The authors also find that Fund-supported policies may have contributed to the vulnerability of countries in the current crisis, as it did in the run-up to the Asian crisis a decade ago. The paper concludes that governments allocating new resources to the IMF should first ensure that there is sufficient reform of IMF governance and past IMF practices, and that accountability mechanisms are put in place at the Fund. | ||
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50th IDB Annual Meeting: Notes from Medellínby IFIs Latin American MonitorThe 50th Annual Governors' Assembly of the Inter-American Development Bank (IADB) took place in Medellín, Colombia, 27-31 March 2009. This year civil society organizations from Latin America and the Caribbean organized a counter-Assembly to visualize the human and environmental costs of the failed "development" policies of the bank. As it was expected both events were totally different. In the official one President Moreno searched for more money to strengthen the role of the institution in the financial crisis. In the other event, civil society organizations, movements and local people explained the consequences of the failed development and asked what is the purpose of assigning more money to the same bank. | ||
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It’s the Global Economy (Stupid) – or Is It?by Mark Weisbrot April 8, 2009, The Guardian Unlimited "This is the day that the world came together, to fight back against the global recession. Not with words but a plan for global recovery and for reform and with a clear timetable,” said U.K. Prime Minister Gordon Brown at the end of the G-20 Summit last week. This was somewhat exaggerated. There was no plan for global recovery or even a commitment to increased fiscal stimulus. It remains to be seen what kinds of reforms will actually materialize. But recovery and reform will not necessarily hinge on what the G20 agrees to do. Roll back to the last major economic crisis – that which began in Asia in 1997 and spread to Russia, Brazil, Argentina, and other countries. In September 1998 Fed Chair Alan Greenspan warned that "it is just not credible that the United States can remain an oasis of prosperity unaffected by a world that is experiencing greatly increased stress." But the U.S. economy kept booming right through the crisis, as a result of consumption driven by the stock market bubble. This continued until the bubble burst, pushing the U.S. economy into recession in 2001. It should not be surprising that the United States economy has the potential to grow even while many other economies are contracting. Eighty-seven percent of what is produced in the United States is consumed here. To be sure, the other thirteen percent can make a difference – but U.S. recessions are not brought on by falling exports. It is not comparable to the 47 percent of GDP that Germany exported last year, or even the 28 percent for Mexico. Of course the current world recession is much worse and more widespread than the crisis of the late 1990s. The high-income countries that comprise the majority of the world economy, including the U.S., European Union, and Japan are mostly in recession. There are some big imbalances, built up over many years, that are adjusting at a pace that is not easy to predict – including the U.S. savings rate, which had fallen to zero by 2007. And there are major weaknesses in much of the world’s financial system. Nonetheless the United States is capable of recovering on its own, with a sufficient domestic economic stimulus and a sensible resolution of the major insolvencies in the financial system – regardless of what other governments do. The U.S. recovery will in turn help the rest of the world. The fact that the dollar is the key reserve currency of the world gives the U.S. even more leeway. There are loud complaints from conservatives about our recession-induced free-spending ways, but investors world-wide are willing to lend the U.S. government money at the historically low (both real and nominal) rate of 2.9 percent on ten year Treasury bonds. This is not the sign of an impending fiscal crisis. It is good that the G-20 leaders are at least talking about increased international co-operation in order to deal with the world recession, and there are some areas – e.g. regulation of the financial sector or preventing illegal international capital flows and international tax avoidance – where increased international co-operation can be especially helpful. But even in these areas, many of the most important reforms can be implemented by individual governments. The global nature of the “global economy” has been grossly exaggerated, as have been its implications. The world today is still much more a collection of national economies, and national governments – especially in the larger economies – have the potential to choose most of their economic policies much as they did thirty or forty years ago. The government of China, for example, has for decades controlled capital flows into and out of the country, regulated foreign investment in accordance with national development needs and plans, fixed its exchange rate, and owned most of the banking system. In this way it was able to take advantage of “globalization” – both international trade and foreign direct investment -- to achieve the fastest economic growth in world history. The contemporary idea of the “global economy” is based on a misapplied analogy to the historical development of national economies. For example, the United States economy was much less stable, with more frequent and much longer recessions, before the creation of regulatory institutions, including most importantly the Federal Reserve (1913) and the New Deal reforms of the 1930s. (The current crisis, which has occurred after decades of deregulatory reforms, appears to be the exception that proves the rule). Thus, it is reasoned, we now live in a “global economy,” and this too must be regulated to iron out some of the irrationalities and instabilities inherent in a market economy. Of course there is some truth to this argument. The idea of a world reserve currency to replace the dollar, for example, most recently floated by China, is a potential reform that could improve world macroeconomic stability. But the concept of the “global economy” is very often an exaggerated one, generating confusion and negative political consequences. Reforms that are both necessary and feasible at the national level, such as appropriate exchange rate, fiscal, and monetary policies (especially in normal times), or capital controls, are rejected as incompatible with the “global economy.” At the same time, reformers often mistakenly look to supra-national institutions that are mainly deregulatory, unaccountable, and regressive – the International Monetary Funs (IMF), World Bank, and World Trade Organization are prime examples – to resolve the problems that these institutions have themselves helped to create. Finance Ministers (or Treasury Secretaries) that are beholden to powerful interests at home are even less accountable to the public when making decisions in these bodies that are another step removed from the electorate of member countries. If they won’t do the right thing at home, they are far less likely to do it at the IMF or the World Bank. For the present, at least, reform at the national or perhaps regional level is a much better bet. Indeed, “globalization” under inappropriate rules and policies has contributed significantly to the current crisis. Even the European Union, a project that compares favorably to the “race-to-the-bottom” economic integration of the NAFTA variety, is currently hampering the Eurozone’s recovery. The restrictions on budget deficits and the ultra-conservative central bank set up by the Maastricht treaty are making it more difficult for Europe to counteract this recession. Efforts to redraw the rules for global commerce in a more equitable and rational manner – such as those of the UN commission headed by Joseph Stiglitz – are a vital part of creating a better future for the generations to come. But the world cannot wait for the time when the governments of the rich countries are willing to cede decision-making power to institutions – such as the United Nations -- that they cannot completely dominate. Nor does it have to wait.
Mark Weisbrot is co-director of the Center for Economic and Policy Research, in Washington, D.C. He received his Ph.D. in economics from the University of Michigan. He is co-author, with Dean Baker, of Social Security: The Phony Crisis (University of Chicago Press, 2000), and has written numerous research papers on economic policy. He is also president of Just Foreign Policy. | ||
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G-20 Should Think Twice About Increasing IMF Funding Without Reformsby Mark WeisbrotMarch 25, 2009, The Guardian Unlimited The G-20 summit meeting in London on April 2nd will have a lot on its plate and will certainly fall short of expectations. [The G-20 expands the G-8 countries of Canada -- France, Germany, Italy, Japan, Russia, the United Kingdom, and the United States, to include Argentina, Australia, Brazil, China, India, Indonesia, Mexico, Saudi Arabia, South Africa, South Korea, Turkey and the European Union]. There is a world recession, the worst for more than 60 years, and the immediate problem of how to get out of it through fiscal and monetary stimulus, as well as possible coordinated action to fix the global financial system. Then there is regulatory reform. And sadly, last on the agenda is aid for the poorest countries – who through the drying up of credit, shrinking exports, and falling commodity prices – pay the biggest price in human terms for a disaster caused mainly by the richest people in the richest countries. The G-20 will also have to make some decisions about the International Monetary Fund (IMF): how much money will they get and what will be their role in the coming months and years? The Obama Administration has proposed an additional $100 billion, in the hope that this will raise $500 billion of new funding. The European Union has committed a similar amount (75 billion Euros). This could be a mistake, unless the IMF is required to eliminate the harmful conditions that it often attaches to its lending. About ten years ago, in the last major international economic crisis – which began in Asia – the U.S. led a large funding increase for the IMF, and the results were disastrous. The Fund worsened the crisis in Asia, mostly by attaching harmful economic and structural conditions to its lending to the countries hardest hit by the crisis, including Indonesia, Thailand, South Korea, and the Philippines. The IMF did at least as badly in Russia and other countries, and especially Argentina, in the same period. These countries learned their lesson and piled up reserves so as to never go back to the IMF again. The Fund, without taking responsibility or firing anyone (much like some American corporations recently) claims to have learned some lessons and also to have changed its policies. But there are too many disturbing signs that it has not. For example, in at least nine agreements that the Fund has negotiated since September 2008, including Eastern European countries, El Salvador, and Pakistan – contain some elements of contractionary policies. These include fiscal (budget) tightening, interest rate increases, wage freezes for public employees, and other measures that will reduce aggregate demand or prevent economic stimulus programs in the current downturn. The IMF has long had a double standard when it comes to dealing with economic downturns. For the rich countries, it can be quite Keynesian: it is currently recommending a global fiscal stimulus of 2 percent of GDP. But for the developing countries that are actually forced to follow the Fund’s advice, there is often a different story: they “cannot afford” these expansionary policies during a recession. This attitude can defeat the purpose of loaning money to developing countries in a downturn, which is to enable them to pursue expansionary policies. The main reason they “cannot afford” to do what the U.S. or other rich countries do during this recession – e.g run large budget deficits – is that they may run out of foreign exchange reserves (mostly dollars). In other words, if they grow at a normal pace while other economies shrink, their imports will grow faster than their exports, and their trade balance will worsen. The purpose of external support is to allow that to happen, rather than shrinking the economy to improve the trade balance. In some sense it is not really fair to blame the IMF for its failed policies, since the Fund has a boss: the U.S. Treasury Department. Although it has 185 member countries, Washington pretty much calls the shots. This arrangement was established with the creation of the Fund in 1944, when Europe was in ruins and much of the developing world was still colonized. China now has the world’s second-largest economy and 1.3 billion people, but only 3.7 percent of the IMF’s voting shares – and that is after a decade long struggle to reform voting shares, and China getting one of the largest increase in voting shares among developing countries in last year’s “reforms.” Europe, Japan, and the other rich countries could outvote the U.S., but prefer not to rock the boat for fear that any challenge to Washington’s control over this institution (and the World Bank) might result in developing countries gaining a voice. There was understandably discontent in the U.S. when the Obama administration appointed people who had a large responsibility for the current economic mess to top positions. The IMF has the same problem, but much worse. The Obama appointees will be pressured to resign if they fail, and the Democrats have to worry about re-election. There is no comparable accountability at the IMF. What hope, then, for reform? For immediate reforms, there is the pressure from organized civil society that successfully forced some $88 billion of poor country debt cancellation over the past decade. Coalitions such as the UK’s 138-organization “Put People First” are pressuring the IMF and World Bank to refrain from inflicting harmful conditions on poor countries, and to cancel more debt; and for the rich countries to live up to their aid commitments. In the U.S., the religious-based Jubilee USA and allied groups are lobbying Congress to authorize the IMF to sell some of its tens of billions of dollars worth of gold reserves; and use the money for debt cancellation for poor countries. More ambitious proposals for longer-term reform come from the UN Commission headed by Nobel laureate economist Joseph Stiglitz. This commission is proposing a Global Economic Council, an expanded global reserve system, and other institutional arrangements – including steady aid to poor countries – that would not be subject to the veto of rich countries as are the IMF and World Bank currently. This week the government of China announced its support for a new global reserve currency to replace the dollar. In the mean time, the most important reforms will take place at the national and regional level, bypassing the G-7 and the nominally expanded G-20. China has in recent months extended multi-billion dollar currency swaps to South Korea, Hong Kong, Indonesia, Malaysia and Belarus, after refusing the rich country’s pleas for more money for the IMF in the absence of governance reform. The ASEAN + 3 countries (ten Association of South-East Asian Nations plus China, Japan, and South Korea) are moving toward a $120 billion Asian Monetary Fund. And South America’s Bank of the South is expected to be launched in May with $10 billion in start-up capital from Argentina, Brazil, Venezuela, Bolivia, Ecuador, Paraguay, and Uruguay. If the developing countries are willing to show the G-7 that they can walk away from any agreements that can harm them, while creating alternatives on the ground at the national and regional level, the governments of the rich countries may eventually see the need for serious international financial reforms. See article on original website En español Mark Weisbrot is co-director of the Center for Economic and Policy Research, in Washington, D.C. He received his Ph.D. in economics from the University of Michigan. He is co-author, with Dean Baker, of Social Security: The Phony Crisis (University of Chicago Press, 2000), and has written numerous research papers on economic policy. He is also president of Just Foreign Policy. | ||
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G-20: Welcome to the Multi-Polar Worldby Mark WeisbrotApril 1, 2009, The Guardian Unlimited The run-up to the G-20 meeting has been interesting and colorful. President Lula Da Silva of Brazil declared that "this crisis was caused by the irrational behavior of white people with blue eyes, who before the crisis appeared to know everything and now demonstrate that they know nothing." His full remarks made it clear that he was not promoting biological race theories but calling attention to the injustice that the vast majority of the world, who happen to be both poor and non-white, should suffer for the greed and stupidity of a few. China also let loose with an uncharacteristic broadside against the United States, basically saying that we (the Chinese) have gotten our act together and are mobilizing massive resources internally to counter the downturn; now how about you clowns who made this mess step up to the plate, before we take more losses on your stinking treasury bonds? It was worded somewhat less rudely, but still a stunning departure from the “hide brilliance, cherish obscurity” motto that has guided Chinese foreign policy. This is what happens when you change the composition of the Ad Hoc Committee to Run the World (the G-7), and the media spotlight wanders over to some of those previously excluded. The change was meant to be symbolic, but even symbolic changes can shift the debate, as new actors find themselves in the middle of an international forum where they can try to show some leadership. Welcome to the multi-polar world. It’s not here yet but the direction is clear. President Obama will discover this week that as much as he is loved and respected around the world, he can’t reverse the declining influence of Washington that his predecessor clumsily accelerated. U.S. leadership is taking an immediate hit because it was at the forefront in creating the current world recession. It’s hard to believe that Nicolas Sarkozy won the presidency of France barely two years ago by promising to make French capitalism more like the American brand. The idea that the “American model” was superior in economic terms has been promoted for years by the European press even though the statistical evidence has always been weak or non-existent (e.g. France has a productivity level about the same as the United States). But from now on these ideas will be a much harder sell. Still, the debate surrounding the G-20 meeting is missing quite a bit on the economic issues. The problem of asset bubbles did not even make it into the G-20’s draft communiqué. Yet the housing bubble in the United States was the primary cause of its deep recession, and contributed enormously to the financial crisis – including through the over-leveraging of financial institutions and the toxic assets and derivatives that they spread around the world. This is also the second recession in six years in the U.S. -- which comprises a quarter of the world’s economy -- that was caused by the bursting of an asset bubble (the 2001 recession was caused by the bursting of the stock market bubble). Housing bubbles in Spain, the U.K., Ireland, and other countries also contributed to their severe recessions this time around. How to prevent asset bubbles from reaching dangerous proportions – which is actually much easier than the other forms of regulation being discussed – should be a major item on the agenda. But it is the economic issues of the developing world that are most obscured and/or neglected. For most developing countries, the current economic crisis is a more acute form of what they have experienced for most of the last three decades – commonly known outside the United States as the era of neoliberalism. Since 1980, there has been a sharp slowdown in economic growth in the vast majority of low- and middle-income countries. As would be expected during a long period of reduced economic growth, there was also reduced progress in the areas of life expectancy, infant and child mortality, and other social indicators. This slowdown in economic growth, and its accompanying negative effects, is not attributable to “diminishing returns” – in other words, it is far beyond what would be expected from the natural course of individual countries facing reduced growth potential at a higher stage of development. A likely explanation for this massive economic failure is that it had something to do with the neoliberal economic policy reforms that were introduced since the 1980s: the abandonment of development strategies, the introduction of much more restrictive monetary and fiscal policies, an indiscriminate opening to international trade and capital flows, and of course the de-regulation and excesses of the financial sector – including its excessive political influence – that the world is now forced to recognize as harmful. It is noteworthy that China, which has had the fastest growing economy in world history over the last 30 years, has mostly avoided these neoliberal reforms, even as it moved away from central planning and began a period of export-led growth. A serious discussion of what has caused this long-term development failure is long overdue, but still not forthcoming. On the contrary, the draft G-20 communiqué reaffirms the importance of completing the current Doha round of the World Trade Organization (WTO), a set of rules that is so tilted against developing countries that it would not stand a chance of being approved by the legislatures of many WTO member countries today. Ironically, the WTO’s Financial Services Agreement seeks to establish rules that would make it more difficult for countries to undertake the financial regulations that this crisis has so painfully demonstrated are needed. There is no talk of reforming the WTO – only moving “forward.” The same is true for the IMF, which just a decade ago was Washington’s main avenue of influence in developing countries. The collapse of the IMF’s creditors’ cartel in middle-income countries, in which many governments could not get credit from other sources without first agreeing to IMF conditions, was one of the most important changes in the international financial system since the breakdown of the Bretton Woods system in 1973. The U.S. Treasury department, with help from Europe and Japan, seeks to revive their lost power in a time of crisis by tripling the IMF’s resources to $750 billion and making the Fund the arbiter of conditionality for loans to countries hard hit by the crisis. But regardless of how much money is added to the IMF coffers, the clock will not be so easily rolled back. Nor will the G-20 move us forward to a new financial architecture, as some had hoped. It took a Great Depression and a World War to get us the Bretton Woods agreement of 1944; fortunately we have not had either of these yet. And the leaders of the rich countries today are far more steeped in neoliberal ideology than the architects of Bretton Woods. In economics, as in the physical sciences during the Middle Ages, a significant amount of knowledge has been lost since the time of Keynes. For now, at least, the most important economic reforms will take place more quietly and without the fanfare of the G-20. China’s decision this week to provide $10.2 billion dollars in a currency swap arrangement with Argentina is an unprecedented (in this hemisphere) and prime example. The creditors’ cartel that forced Argentina to accept disastrous conditions from the IMF a decade ago is no longer operative there. That is progress, and there will be much more in the coming years, as national governments seek alternatives to failed policies, and co-operate with each other outside the structure of unreformed neoliberal institutions. See article on original website Mark Weisbrot is co-director of the Center for Economic and Policy Research, in Washington, D.C. He received his Ph.D. in economics from the University of Michigan. He is co-author, with Dean Baker, of Social Security: The Phony Crisis (University of Chicago Press, 2000), and has written numerous research papers on economic policy. He is also president of Just Foreign Policy. | ||
Economist Eric Toussaint pledges Latin America governments to abandon IADB.by Prensa web YVKE, Agencias
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The Inter-American Development Bank: 50 years of financing inequality and unsustainabilityby Jana Silverman - Social WatchThis year, the Inter-American Development Bank (IADB) is celebrating a very important birthday – its 50th, with the corresponding festivities planned for the week of March 27-31 at the Annual Governors´ Assembly, which will be held in Medellin, Colombia. However, instead of celebrating, CSO from Latin America and the Caribbean are planning a counter-Assembly to visualize the human and environmental costs of the failed "development" policies of the bank, which are largely focused on the promotion of ecologically damaging mega-projects that provide few benefits for disadvantaged local populations and fail to respect the rights of indigenous communities and other traditional ethnic groups. | ||
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Mortgage mess sinks Interamerican Development Bankby Toby Sterling / Matt Apuzzo (Associated Press Writers)WASHINGTON – The Inter-American Development Bank, the largest lender for projects including roads and power plants in Latin America, lost $1.9 billion on mortgages and other securities as part of an unusually aggressive investment strategy, according to internal bank documents obtained by The Associated Press. The bank is funded by donations from wealthy countries such as the United States. It downplayed the losses even as an independent auditor blamed bank managers and called for a review of the investment strategy. A decade ago, the bank kept its money almost exclusively in goverment bonds and bank accounts. By 2006, investments in asset-backed securities such as mortgages, credit card debt and home equity credit lines represented 60 percent of the bank's portfolio, according to the audit. Auditors determined the bank got in over its head. "The bank's risk management lacks the specialized systems and skills to adequately assess the risks in the current, relatively complex, portfolio," according to the report, which was submitted to the bank in December. The report was prepared by a panel of outside experts, including Anthony Santomero, the former president of the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia. The bank's chief financial officer, Edward Bartholomew, would not discuss the report. He acknowledged the bank booked a loss of $1.6 billion "on paper" in 2008 from investments that have fallen in value. But he said they are worth more than what they can be sold for during the current financial crisis. Development banks maintain investment portfolios only to store the money they will later lend, ensuring it is available when needed. If the Inter-American Development Bank needed the money from depressed assets quickly, it would have to sell them and lock in the huge losses. However, Bartholomew said the bank has plenty of cash so it can afford to wait to see whether the investments recover as he expects. Bartholomew defended the bank's decision to invest so heavily in asset-backed securities, saying the plan was to make its returns less volatile, not to make more money. Auditors found the concentration of such investments in the bank's portfolio was twice as high as at the World Bank and almost 10 times as high as at the Asian Development Bank. "The strategy was driven by the board-approved strategy of minimizing credit risk and not to take any interest-rate risk," Bartholomew said. The bank invested only in asset-backed securities that got top scores from credit rating agencies. The audit found that the bank relied too heavily on such ratings and unintentionally created a portfolio highly exposed to big losses. Auditors said the bank might want to hire outside investment managers if it intends to keep such a complicated portfolio. Bartholomew disagreed. "I don't think there's any question about the ability of the team here to manage this portfolio," he said. He said the bank would review its investment strategy but said its fundamentals were sound. Congress, which likely will be asked this year to approve more money for the bank, has questions. Sen. Richard Lugar, R-Ind., challenged the bank's Colombian president, Luis Alberto Moreno, to explain what went wrong. "The reported scale of the IDB's investment portfolio losses of $1.9 billion — 10 to 100 times higher than the losses of the other development banks — is of grave concern," Lugar wrote in a letter last week. Batholomew sought to ease those concerns. He said discussions about whether to commit more money to the bank should be separate from discussions about its investment woes. ___ Associated Press writer Toby Sterling contributed to this report from Amsterdam, Netherlands. | ||
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"50 years financing inequality"by María José RomeroUnder the motto "50 years financing inequality" a group of civil society organisations, networks and movements are working on a campaign on occasion of the 50th anniversary of the Inter-American Development Bank (IDB), to be celebrated during the next Meeting of the Board of IDB Governors. For the group, this is an important landmark to evidence the failure of the development model promoted by the IDB and present alternatives proposed by the peoples of the Americas aimed at their well-being. Article in Spanish language: http://ifis.choike.org/esp/informes/1058.html
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Letter from Lawrence Harrington, U.S. Representative to the IDB, to IDB President Iglesias Opposing Loan Disbursements to HaitiThis April 6, 2001 letter from Lawrence Harrington, the U.S. Representative to the IDB at the time, to IDB President Iglesias, is evidence of the U.S.' role in an aid embargo against Haiti during Jean-Bertrand Aristide's second term. The letter refers to approved IDB loans, stating, "we do not believe that these loans can or should be treated in a routine manner and strongly urge you to not authorize any disbursements at this time." As journalist Tracy Kidder noted in The Nation, "This was unusual. No [IDB] member nation is supposed to be able to stop the disbursement of loans that are already approved." Indeed, it was in direct violation of the IDB's charter. Article VIII, Section 5(d) states: "The President, officers, and staff owe their duty entirely to the Bank and shall recognize no other authority. Each member of the Bank shall respect the international character of his duty." Kidder notes, "The Haitian government also lost access to loans it could have received from the IDB over the next several years, worth another $ 470 million." (For more information, see Tracy Kidder, "The trials of Haiti: why has the US government abandoned a country it once sought to liberate?," The Nation, No. 13, Vol. 277; Pg. 26, October 27, 2003; IDB, "AGREEMENT ESTABLISHING THE INTER-AMERICAN DEVELOPMENT BANK," January 1996 reprint; Center for Human Rights and Global Justice, Partners In Health, the RFK Memorial Center for Human Rights, and Zanmi Lasante, “Woch nan Soley: The Denial of the Right to Water in Haiti." August 2008; Jeffrey Sachs , "From His First Day in Office, Bush Was Ousting Aristide," Los Angeles Times, March 4, 2004.) | ||
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IFIs LA Monitor Newsletter - September, 2008by IFIs Latin American MonitorIn this edition you will find: * Information resource: "Bank of the South: An alternative to the IFIs?"
The IFIs Latin American Monitor's newsletter, edited in English and Spanish language, is distributed monthly via e-mail and is also available on the IFIs Monitor's website. If you want a free subscription, please see: | ||
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The United States and the World: Where are We Headed?by Mark WeisbrotThe United States appears to be embarking on a transition on two major fronts: its own economy, both financial and real; and its relations with the rest of the world. There is some relation between these two transitions. Some of these changes will depend on the outcome of the U.S. national election in November, and some will not. This paper will present a brief overview of current trends, with some attention given to U.S. foreign policy in Latin America, as well as other areas. | ||
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Evaluation of IDB Action in the Initiative for Integration of Regional Infrastructure in South America (IIRSA)The IDB recently published the document Evaluation of IDB Action in the Initiative for Integration of Regional Infrastructure in South America (IIRSA) carried out by the Office of Evaluation and Oversight (OVE) for the period 2000-2008. This evaluation approved by the Board after three months of debate, includes strong criticism of the Bank activity and the inability to prove its aggregate value in the 8 years it has joined the IIRSA initiative. | ||
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IF-EYE Issue #34Publication of the Bank Information Centerby Bank Information Center
Welcome to the July 3, 2008 issue of the IF-EYE – the Bank Information Center’s synthesis of key developments concerning international financial institutions. This issue spotlights a massive increase in fossil fuel lending by the World Bank and a new book that explains the socio-environmental problems of a major hydroelectric project in Brazil. Please send suggestions, contributions and subscription requests to: info@bicusa.org. Thanks for reading! | ||


He said that democratic governments of Latinamerica should abandon IADB, in order to stregthen the Bank of the South. In an interview by Cadena Telesur, the specialist referred to the 50 years of existence of IADB as globally negative balance, which is reason enough for the democratic countries of the region to get off the Institution, to potentiate a new Bank of the South.